Isikhungo sokuhlaziya izimakethe i-Fitch International sithe embikweni wayo wakamuva wezimboni ukuthi njengoba ukukhula komnotho emhlabeni jikelele kulindeleke ukuthi kuphinde kunyuke, isidingo se-aluminium emhlabeni jikelele kulindeleke ukuthi sithole ukusimama okubanzi.
Izikhungo zochwepheshe zibikezela ukuthi intengo ye-aluminium ngo-2021 izoba ngu-US$1,850/ton, ephakeme kune-US$1,731/ton ngesikhathi sobhubhane lwe-covid-19 ngo-2020. Umhlaziyi ubikezela ukuthi i-China izokwenyusa ukunikezwa kwe-aluminium, okuzonciphisa amanani
U-Fitch ubikezela ukuthi njengoba ukukhula komnotho wembulunga yonke kulindeleke ukuthi kukhuphuke, isidingo se-aluminium emhlabeni wonke sizobona ukusimama okubanzi, okuzosiza ukunciphisa ukugcwala ngokweqile.
UFitch ubikezela ukuthi ngo-2021, njengoba ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe sekuphinde kwavela kusukela ngoSepthemba 2020, ukuhlinzekwa kweChina emakethe kuzokhula.Ngo-2020, umkhiqizo we-aluminium waseChina wafinyelela irekhodi eliphezulu lamathani ayizigidi ezingama-37.1.UFitch ubikezela ukuthi njengoba iChina yengeza amathani ayizigidi ezi-3 zamandla amasha okukhiqiza futhi iqhubeka nokukhuphuka ifinyelele emkhawulweni ongaphezulu wamathani ayizigidi ezingama-45 ngonyaka, ukukhiqizwa kwe-aluminium yaseChina kuzokhuphuka ngo-2.0% ngo-2021.
Njengoba isidingo se-aluminium yasekhaya sincipha engxenyeni yesibili ka-2021, ukuthengwa kwe-aluminium yase-China kuzobuyela emazingeni angaphambi kwenhlekelele ezingxenyeni ezimbalwa ezizayo.Nakuba i-Fitch's National Risk Group ibikezela ukuthi i-GDP yaseChina izokhula ngamandla ngo-2021, ibikezela ukuthi ukusetshenziswa kukahulumeni kuzoba ukuphela kwesigaba sezindleko ze-GDP ngo-2021, futhi izinga lokukhula lizoba ngaphansi kuka-2020. Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi kulindeleke ukuthi Uhulumeni wase-China angase akhansele noma yiziphi ezinye izindlela zokuvuselela amandla futhi agxilise imizamo yakhe ekulawuleni amazinga ezikweletu, okungase kuvimbele ukwanda kwesidingo se-aluminium yasekhaya esikhathini esizayo.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Apr-30-2021